What’s Actually the Plane of the Future

This video was made possible by Squarespace. Build your web presence for 10% by going to
squarespace.com/wendover. Supersonic speed, modular cabin design, all
electric power, transparent cabin walls, pilotless planes, personal jets for everyone—that
all sounds great, but what’s actually the plane of the future. In the next 15-20 years, what will be the
next major aircraft release to make an impact on the industry? Well, it’s not nearly as exciting as those
concepts, at least for passengers. More and more people travel by plane each
year and the industry is only growing. In recent years the Boeing 787 Dreamliner
has made a significant impact on the airline industry. This relatively small, super-efficient, long
range airplane has allowed for the advent of long-haul budget airlines and for traditional
airlines to open up long-haul routes between smaller markets. Now, the near-future of aviation has a lot
to do with one decision Boeing made almost a decade ago—a decision they’ve been regretting
ever since. In 1983 the first Boeing 757 entered into
service with Eastern Airlines. It was billed as a replacement to the successful
727 for popular shorter routes that needed more seats than a 737. At the time it was incredibly fuel efficient
burning 40% less fuel per seat than its predecessor. It sold well, but not phenomenally. By the turn of the millennium about a thousand
were made and sales were slowing rapidly so Boeing pulled the plug on the aircraft’s
production in 2004. But then, in 2007, the aircraft started to
be used for something it wasn’t intended for—transatlantic service. When the 757 was originally developed airlines
weren’t really allowed to fly twin-engine aircraft over long stretches of ocean, but
the regulations changed so airlines changed how they used the plane. With a range of well over 4,000 miles, the
757 can easily reach most destinations in western Europe from the US east coast. When operating a smaller plane, airlines are
almost guaranteed that they can fill the seats so they’re almost guaranteed to make money. So, instead of operating larger planes that
might not fill up, airlines started flying this single-aisle, twin-engine plane across
the Atlantic. The smaller size also allowed airlines to
fly to smaller destinations with smaller demand. United, for example, flies this plane on routes
like New York to Shannon, Birmingham, Edinburgh, Lisbon, and Stockholm. At the same time, since the plane was originally
developed for domestic routes, it can easily be used for shorter domestic flights between
transatlantic flights which leads to high aircraft utilization—a key to profitability. But these planes are getting old. Some have been in service for well over 30
years and airlines need to retire them to remain competitive both with passenger comfort
and with aircraft efficiency and right now, nobody really knows what’s going to replace
these aging 757’s. There’s a huge gap in the market. The biggest Boeing single aisle aircraft in
production is the 737 Max 10 while the smallest twin-aisle aircraft is the 787-8 Dreamliner. In an all economy configuration the Max 10
carries 230 passengers while the Dreamliner carries 359 passengers. Meanwhile, the Max 10 can fly up to 3,700
miles while the Dreamliner can fly up to 8,300 miles. At between 230 and 280 passengers and up to
4,000 nautical miles, the 757 perfectly fits between the two sizes, but we need a plane
of the future for this middle spot. Neither Boeing or Airbus has officially announced
plans for a middle of the market plane but it’s almost certain that the next entirely
new plane to hit the market will be in this sweet spot of size. Boeing tried to hurriedly make a plane this
size with the 737-MAX program but many traditional airlines aren’t buying it. Budget airlines love using it to serve between
the British Isles and US east coast, but the largest 737-MAX can only fly up to 3,700 miles—only
barely reaching continental Europe from New York. United, Delta, and American Airlines all want
a longer-range and slightly larger plane for their low-demand transatlantic routes. So here’s the good news: this plane is coming. There have only been trickles of information,
but we’ve all but confirmed that the Boeing 797 will be a brand new plane between the
size of the 737 and the 787 and here’s what it will look like. It will have between 225 and 260 seats and
a range of just shy of 6,000 miles—enough to get even to the American west coast from
London. While the increased range of the 737-Max planes
is allowing transatlantic service from smaller cities in the British Isles and American east
coast, this 797 will open transatlantic service from cities deeper into the continents along
with replacing the aging 757s. With super-efficient engines and composite
design, it will be one of the most efficient planes yet and further drive down the cost
of hopping the pond. Meanwhile, Airbus is doing nothing, because
they already tried. The Airbus a310 was exactly the size of this
potential 797 but they only sold 250 of them. It was likely before its time—airlines just
didn’t consider serving long-haul routes between smaller markets at the time. It’s a newer concept. Ironically, the best replacement for the Boeing
757 is actually an Airbus plane—the a321 neo long range—but this plane is a bit too
small to serve as a true replacement. It’s more a temporary solution until Boeing
releases their solution. As of now the 797 would most likely enter
service in 2025 so it will be a while until we know which manufacturer chose correctly. But what’s next? After completing their entire ranges of aircraft
sizes, what will Boeing and Airbus make to remain competitive? Right now oil prices are low so there’s
less pressure to operate greener aircraft, but most analysts predict a doubling of oil
prices in the next 20-30 years with ever faster increases after that. The industry will need to adapt to stay alive
against the potential future threat of high-speed land-based transportation systems like hyperloop. For that, electric is the answer. Fuel is airlines’ number one cost and cutting
that out could make flying competitive in price to taking the bus, but electric aircraft
have their limitations. Current batteries are heavy and electric engines
are weak so electric aircraft are limited in speed and range, but there’s a place
for that kind of aircraft—on regional routes. Trains currently dominate the 200-400 mile
transportation market. Think DC to New York, Edinburgh to London,
or Tokyo to Osaka. There’s just no way that the plane can beat
the train in terms of price, convenience, and time, but the electric aircraft has the
potential to beat the train on the most important of those three factors—price. By offering a transportation option at roughly
the same cost but significantly faster than the bus, electric aircraft will have the potential
to dominate the short-haul market because on shorter routes, aircraft speed doesn’t
really matter. On flights so short, aircraft barely get up
to their top speeds. Both British Airways and Flybe operate the
Edinburgh to London Heathrow route, for example, but British Airways uses a320 and 767 jets
while Flybe uses Bombardier Dash 8 turboprops. British Airways flies this route in an average
79 minutes while Flybe, with their slower turboprop planes flies between Edinburgh and
London Heathrow in a faster 73 minutes on average. British Airways’ a320 has a top speed of
541 mph while Flybe’s dash 8 has a top speed of 370 miles per hour and yet the turboprop
flies the route faster. On such a short route, the low speed of an
electric airplane wouldn’t matter since aircraft can’t get up to speed and the dramatic
cost reduction would make airplanes the absolute dominant transportation method in short-haul
markets. Airbus is the current market leader in electric
aircraft development with a goal to release a hybrid commuter aircraft by 2030, but as
the reality of a world without oil nears, Boeing will likely start more serious development
of an electric aircraft in the coming years. None of this is to say that we will never
see some of the more exciting future aircraft concepts, but the entire aviation industry
is dictated by economics, not comfort. It’s a lot easier for airlines to market
lower prices than it is for them to sell higher comfort so more efficient aircraft will always
win. With the completion of a middle-of-the-market
airplane, however, the entire range of aircraft sizes will be filled in a way that might allow
the aircraft manufacturers to turn their focus to developing more novel aircraft concepts
that will change the way we fly in the future. The good news is that these aircraft developments
are all about making flying cheaper which will let more and more people fly for less. If you have a business, a youtube channel,
a podcast, or really anything else, you need a professional web presence. It’s how people find you nowadays, and nobody
makes it easier to build your website than squarespace. They have dozens of beautiful designer templates
that make it simple to make a beautiful looking website. You can create an e-store, a blog, a portfolio,
or just a simple landing page with your contact info. If anything goes wrong, they have fantastic,
award-winning customer service available 24/7. No matter how you use squarespace, you can
get 10% off your order by going to squarespace.com/wendover. Squarespace is what I use because it just
works and you should to by going to squarespace.com/wendover. Aside from that, please be sure to check out
my podcast Showmakers, my new channel Half as Interesting, and subscribe to this channel
to get all my future videos right when they come out. Thanks again for watching and I’ll see you
in two weeks for another Wendover Productions video.


Hey I hope you enjoy this new video! Some 370 of you got to see this early as I accidentally pressed the button that I didn't mean to press so the video was live for about a minute this morning, but here's the real version!

Make sure to check out Squarespace because this video literally would not have happened without their support.

Anything that costs more than 10 cents to operate will not happen. For the past 30 years, for passengers, the airlines have been going backwards. High speed rail is desperately needed in the U.S.

At this point in time Airbus is the only option for planes – one shouldn't even be thinking about Boeing.

In my opinion the only good planes Boeing ever made are the 767 and the 777

Time traveler: hey send over productions how’s the 737 max

WP: well it’s the newest and greatest single aisle plane of 2019

Time traveler: oh so it’s before the crashes

WP: … ummm what

6:25 your video production skills are great,but all you need is a small bit of research to figure hyperloop is impossible.

After all the 737 max issues, Boeing was forced to cancel the 797 program. So airbus decided to announce their a321neo ultra long range which fits perfect in that gap. Airbus is expected to pass Boeing as the largest airplane manufacturer in the world.

What the hell is this? A Boeing add? The way Boeing is going, with their complete lack of respect to safety as opposed to their bottom line, I see Airbus as the future of airplanes.

Electric planes are the future of aircraft life. We are going to run out of oil soon. And once we start to get low on it. The price will skyrocket.

⚠️THEORY ⚠️ Elon musk will began making fully electric tesla airplanes in probaly 2030 maybe later.

Lol, ive travelled between Edinburgh and London and let me tell you its way easier to fly. Saves roughly 3 hours, and i paid an extra 20% because rail fares are so expensive and I actually get a seat.

"What's Actually the Plane of the Future". Is there an American YouTuber in existence who understands the fucking English language?

Well the tables have turned. Airbus is selling its A220s (aka the Bombardier C series) well, and Boeing is in a lot of trouble after its 737 Max issue. Taking this all into account, it seems that Airbus is the future.

For pilots the 757 replacement is very exiting because you can only make so much money with the 737 and the 767 or 787 can be combersome

Airbus has gotten there first. A321neo XLR released. Bigger cabin than 757, 500 nm more range than 757, 30 percent less fuel burned than the 757. Boeing gotta catch up.

half or one or two meter wide hull to reduce drag air resistance and passangers lie down , would it be better for fuel economy, or sit half reclined packed like sardines in thin seats.but then legs must be bent a bit down or could they come between nest persons legs through crotch, one leg

whats actually the plane of the future?: , better fuel efficiency, 6 inches less legroom and crappier airplane food

i hope they dont make pilotless planes cuz i want to be a pilot and if its pilotless then it could be dangerous because of the chance of wrong scanning

Whoever researched this does not know the first thing about the Tokyo-Osaka bullet train route. Comparing the train time to a potential fly time is comparing apples to oranges: The bullet train conveniently starts from several stations in central and suburban Tokyo that are easier to get to. Once you factor in the hassle of getting to the airport and checking in, any advantage to flying is eliminated. Add to this that there is a bullet train leaving on that route every 10-20 minutes, then there becomes even less reasons to fly.

That being said, there is use in Japan for such planes: Japan has lots of regional airports and these can be used for direct point to point international tourism. But for moving within the Japanese mainland, aside from flying to and from Hokkaido in the north, nothing will beat the comfort and ease of use of the bullet train system.

Hi reader… I really need your help brother . I want to become a commercial pilot can you give me information about it .. how much it cost in your own country .. or from where it should be good to do Aviation. Is after cpl a job will be found easily or not?…….
Do u think that the Aviaton field is good or not ?.. I m pakistani….. I really need your help my brother plz reply

I hope they look more like starships from star wars movies..thats how I like them too look like and fly..compare to todays planes..they all look the same and look boring..

2 years pass now and we managed debunk hyperloop, oil crisis etc etc…….so we can clearly see this video been done by morons 😀

With the 797 going into service at the absolute earliest in 2025, the 321XLR albeit maxing out at 244 seats currently, will have had at least a 5 year head start. With all due respect to Boeing, I don’t see any way they can maintain the interests of the airline companies in this market. Provided the xlr doesn’t have any issues it will have an imbedded monopoly. Why they didn’t augment the 757 is beyond comprehension and that runt of its fleet the 737 should have been scrapped 20 years ago.

Boeing have made some huge blunders with little positives in contrast not to mention the RR Trent 1000 giving them a bit of a needling too. Their last real significant success was 25 odd years ago with the 777. The 787 has them hanging on by a thread. If it weren’t for their aerospace and military contracts they could have failed.

Airbus look in a formidable position to rule the sky’s over continental US not to mention the A220 for good measure. Airbus will be shuttling passengers all over the US at lower fuel cost per seat while at the same time taking seats away from Boeing. This is a capitalist Mayday. Dilapidated and inefficient 757s and 737s mucking about while Airbus’ flaunting their products with the help of their passengers. I won’t get on a 737 Max when it returns to service and there are probably hundreds of thousands of people sharing this sentiment. When the 797 shows up to the party the party it will be over and the hangovers a distant memory.

Electric engines… on the vehicle more sensitive to power-to-weight AND energy-to-weight than any other…

Electric planes are at best a marketing stunt. You're off your head if you think they'll ever be useful.

Leave a Reply